Urk! I'm confused again, Alex... When I try these two combats as simple contests, here are the results I get:
Actor skill = 17, opp skill = 17W2
0 No Effect
0 Both Complete Defeat
0 Both Marginal Defeat
19 Narrator Call
0 Actor Complete Victory
0 Actor Major Victory
1 Actor Minor Victory
16 Actor Marginal Victory
19 Opp Complete Victory
39 Opp Major Victory
306 Opp Minor Victory
0 Opp Marginal Victory
The actor wins in (0+0+1+16) = 17 cases = 4.25% The opp wins in (19+39+306+0) = 364 cases = 91.00% They tie in (0+0+0+19) = 19 cases = 4.75%
Actor skill = 2W, opp skill = 17W2
0 No Effect
0 Both Complete Defeat
17 Both Marginal Defeat
17 Narrator Call
0 Actor Complete Victory
1 Actor Major Victory
3 Actor Minor Victory
2 Actor Marginal Victory
17 Opp Complete Victory
291 Opp Major Victory
52 Opp Minor Victory
0 Opp Marginal Victory
The actor wins in (0+1+3+2) = 6 cases = 1.50% The opp wins in (17+291+52+0) = 360 cases = 90.00% They tie in (0+0+17+17) = 34 cases = 8.50%
So against the highly skilled opponent, the 17 wins almost three times as often.
Am I calculating something incorrectly?
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