Re: Alleged non-linearity.

From: Alex Ferguson <abf_at_...>
Date: Tue, 6 Jun 2000 22:17:30 +0100 (BST)

Timothy Byrd:
> Actor skill = 2W, opp skill = 17W2

> The actor wins in (0+1+3+2) = 6 cases = 1.50%
> The opp wins in (17+291+52+0) = 360 cases = 90.00%
> They tie in (0+0+17+17) = 34 cases = 8.50%

> Am I calculating something incorrectly?

I do believe you're forgetting the 'cancelled masteries' rule for the fail/fail case. Indeed, I'm almost certain you are, since I know I was, until earlier today (though more lethargy than forgetfulness), and I was getting precisely the same.

To wit, these cases:

 17 Both Marginal Defeat

Actually are all wins to the 2W guy, through the oddity I mentioned a post or two ago.

Cheers,
Alex.

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