Edge effects are bad. As the rules stand, there is not a smooth transition from certainly able to do something, through probably. Wulf cites trivial examples, but its the extreme examples which test the rules and show any problems in the starkest light. If one decided to use even an extended contest for those trivial examples, the outcome should be almost the same, only the narative and dramatic aspects should be different. The 'self respecting hero' rule should be only an optimization.
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