Sure. I think a 1 in 40 chance is pretty decent - it gives you enough chance to be interesting, but not enough to make you want to try it unless you are desperate.
> With that number of APs, it is likely that the
>contest will last longer than 4 rounds...
Not if the guy with the big advantage knows what he is doing! And besides - that outrageous exchange that defies the oddsis what HPs are for.
>
>And if the edge is defensive rather than offensive - so that the edge
>is subtracted from the 10w3's forfeits and transfers to 10w5 BEFORE
>multipliers - then the odds move hugely in favour of the 10w3 (note
>that the subtraction cannot reduce a forfeit or transfer below 1).
Not that hugely - you still wouldn't like to count on it. Any w5 hero worth their salt would be dealing with it -risking the small odds of failure to nail you with a huge bet, changing the ability to it doesn't matter (ie hitting you with their magic so your huge sword affinity doesn't help), etc.
A huge edge does pretty much what I would like to see out of the narrative in such a situation. They are dangerous, but still not guaranteed to win against someone with much greater skill - like a novice warrior wielding a chainsaw.
I realise a big edge still does increase your chance against someone much better than you, but SO much less than an equivalent bonus.
Remember the comparison - no matter how you slice it, its a LOT harder for the w3^120 to beat w5 than it is for the w6 guy to beat w5.
Cheers David
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