Re: "Quantity" and "Contest" Ratings

From: Kevin Blackburn <kevin_at_...>
Date: Mon, 21 Jul 2003 20:44:15 +0100

In article <1714669.1058515098984.JavaMail.root_at_127.0.0.1>, aescleal_at_... writes
>From playing it looks like 20 points is about a multiplication of
>between 4 and 6, not 16 or so that doubling every 5 point would
>indicate - and that's with an extended contest played out over a large
>number of exchanges.
>
>With a simple contest going from 14 to 19 against a default resistance
>is only about ~1/6 more likely to suceed - again based on experience,
>not theory!
>
>Cheers,
>
>Ash

As you'll have seen in my posts to the group, I may well be wrong - experience suggests to me that even a +5 difference is really quite worrying, but I can't back that up. For a start the exact probabilities vary across the range of the 1d20, and the benefits of multi-step wins are hard to capture.

Incidentally, this is by e-mail as other posts of my have similar sentiments, and I didn't want to clutter the group.

-- 
Kevin Blackburn                         Kevin_at_...