Re: Re: odds

From: Todd Gardiner <todd.gardiner_at_...>
Date: Thu, 5 Nov 2009 15:42:19 -0800


A tie is a tie. No change in the overall situation in HQ2.

Ties, however, can be hard to narrate. In fact, they get their own text box discussing them. But a tie is both players succeed or both players fail in HQ2.

--Todd

On Thu, Nov 5, 2009 at 3:37 PM, soviet1337 <markhumphreys_at_...> wrote:

>
>
>
> I believe it's lowest successful roll wins. (I'm going off HQ1 here BTW -
> did this change with HQ2?)
>
>
> --- In HeroQuest-rules_at_yahoogroups.com <HeroQuest-rules%40yahoogroups.com>,
> Andrew Moreton <moreton.andrew_at_...> wrote:
> >
> > Wrong
> > Looking at each possible dice roll result
> > Player A has skill 10, Player B has skill 15. IIRC highest succesful dice
> > roll wins
> > Player A roll
> > 20 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 19 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 18 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 17 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 16 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 15 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 14 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 13 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 12 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 11 Player B succeeds 15 of 20 both fail 5 in 20
> > 10 Player B wins 5 in 20 Player A wins 14 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 9 Player B Wins 6 in 20 Player A wins 13 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 8 Player B Wins 7 in 20 Player A wins 12 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 7 Player B Wins 8 in 20 Player A wins 11 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 6 Player B Wins 9 in 20 Player A wins 10 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 5 Player B Wins 10 in 20 Player A wins 9 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 4 Player B Wins 11 in 20 Player A wins 8 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 3 Player B Wins 12 in 20 Player A wins 7 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 2 Player B Wins 13 in 20 Player A wins 6 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > 1 Player B Wins 14 in 20 Player A wins 5 in 20 Tie 1 in 20
> > PLayer B wins 245 out of 400
> > Player A wins 95 out of 400
> > Tie 10 in 400
> > Both fail 50 in 400
> > 2009/11/5 soviet1337 <markhumphreys_at_...>
>
> >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > I believe it makes very little difference - about 3%.
> > >
> > > There are 400 possible results in d20 vs d20 (20 x 20). Let's say
> player A
> > > is rated 15 and player B is rated 10. These are the only possible
> > > combinations where the difference matters:
> > >
> > > A rolls 11, B rolls 11
> > > A rolls 12, B rolls 11
> > > A rolls 12, B rolls 12
> > > A rolls 13, B rolls 11
> > > A rolls 13, B rolls 12
> > > A rolls 13, B rolls 13
> > > A rolls 14, B rolls 11
> > > A rolls 14, B rolls 12
> > > A rolls 14, B rolls 13
> > > A rolls 14, B rolls 14
> > > A rolls 15, B rolls 11
> > > A rolls 15, B rolls 12
> > > A rolls 15, B rolls 13
> > > A rolls 15, B rolls 14
> > > A rolls 15, B rolls 15
> > >
> > > That's 15 possibilities out of 400, or about 3%. Shocking, I know, but
> > > that's how the maths works. 97% of the time the difference between 15
> and 10
> > > is irrelevant.
> > >
> > > --- In HeroQuest-rules_at_yahoogroups.com<HeroQuest-rules%40yahoogroups.com><HeroQuest-rules%
> 40yahoogroups.com>,
> > > "DanWater" <danwater_at_> wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Hi all,
> > > >
> > > > Can anyone tell me the odds of a 15 ability beating a 10 ability. All
> > > else is equal and no masteries are involved.
> > > >
> > > > Thanks in advance.
> > > >
> > > > BTW, I'm pretty sure the 15 ability is not 25% better than the 10
> ability
> > > but outside that I'm lost as to how much better the 15 ability is.
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> >
> > --
> > "Any Sufficiently analysed magic is indistinguishable from Science"
> > Agatha, Girl Genius
> > http://www.girlgeniusonline.com/comic.php?date=20081205
> >
> >
> >
> >
>
>
>

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