Re: Re: odds

From: Todd Gardiner <todd.gardiner_at_...>
Date: Fri, 6 Nov 2009 00:23:13 -0800


I have corrected my results table, since I was calculating ties incorrectly. And, hopefully this table can show others how easy these odds are to calculate in a spreadsheet, for future reference.

    01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Fifteen Skill
1 … T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 2 … 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 3 … 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 4 … 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 … 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 … 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 7 … 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8 … 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 … 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 11 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 12 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 13 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 14 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 15 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 16 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 10 17 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 10 18 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 10 19 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 T 10 20 …15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 F 10 skill

Totals

Ties           14  or   3.5%
Skill 10 wins 180  or  45.0%
Skill 15 wins 205  or  51.3%
Both lose       1  or    .3%

Skill 15 has an 6.3% edge over Skill 10.

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