Re: Re: odds

From: L C <lightcastle_at_...>
Date: Sat, 7 Nov 2009 13:10:08 -0500

OK, That looks totally distorted on my email program, but I'm glad someone put it in.

Do we really no longer have the excel sheet that automatically calculates these odds? Pity. I might have it on my old laptop somewhere.

On Sat, Nov 7, 2009 at 12:45 PM, Nikodemus Siivola < nikodemus_at_random-state.net> wrote:

>
>
> 2009/11/7 DanWater <danwater_at_... <danwater%40yahoo.com>>:
> > " the number before the mastery notation might as well disappear."
> >
> > This is why it's a problem. With only masteries there isn't enough
> distinction between
> > characters or even seperate abilities for one character. As a system that
> puts character
> > front and center anything that dilutes the differences between characters
> or abilities
> > within a character runs counter to the systems purpose.
>
> I thought so, till I ran the numbers taking levels of success into
> account -- which also led me to embrace the "high roll wins marginals"
> optional rule.
>
> This is the standard rule, with a relative histogram of result
> distribution. Even here a minor and major victories are twice as
> likely for the better score.
>
> Ability: 15, Resistance: 10, Tie-breaker: low-roll-wins
> Complete Victory: *
> Major Victory: ************
> Minor Victory:
> **********************************************************************
> Marginal Victory: *********************
> Tie: ********
> Marginal Defeat: ******************************************************
> Minor Defeat: ******************************
> Major Defeat: *******
> Compleat Defeat: *
> Wins 51.3%, Loses: 45.0%
>
> What is the effect of high-roll-wins over low-roll-wins? Glad you
> asked! It swaps the marginals around:
>
> Ability: 15, Resistance: 10, Tie-breaker: high-roll-wins
> Complete Victory: *
> Major Victory: ************
> Minor Victory:
> **********************************************************************
> Marginal Victory: ******************************************************
> Tie: ********
> Marginal Defeat: *********************
> Minor Defeat: ******************************
> Major Defeat: *******
> Compleat Defeat: *
> Wins 67.5%, Loses: 28.8%
>
> I prefer this, but the low-roll-wins isn't too shabby either.
>
> Cheers,
>
> -- Nikodemus
>
>

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