You can even use the Resource Requirements as a thumb-rule for "Is my God going to notice?" - (HQ: 10%/30%/60%/90%. RQ: Lay Members: ~5%, Initiates: 10%, Acolytes: 25%, Runetype: 50%)
A lay person probably won't be under the Scrutiny of any particular god, or even the Pantheon. An initiate somewhat more so, a devotee - probably, and a Disciple: well, I'm really pretty sure he will be. (how that percentage is divided up amongst holy days and "other" is up to the GM, of course...)
Another way to do it (for those that want to keep the HQ system) is turn that % into an ability rating - "God Will See Me" (2/6/12/18). Use that against the "I'll escape notice this time 6" (And I'd really want to see justification for taking *that* as an ability above 6!) that all theists have, and bob's your uncle... Modify the God Will Notice Me rating for things like: breaking a Geas (at least +20, maybe more); going against your god's specific edicts (A CA using a weapon: +10, maybe +20); Doing stuff your god says is bad, but doesn't specifically prohibit (Humakti using a poison when he doesn't have a specific geas against it +5), Going against the Pantheon's Believes (A Heortling consorting with chaos +10), etc.
So Humakt will notice his Devotee breaking a "Don't Ambush" geas at 12w (or better) vrs 6 - pretty good odds...
Of course, you might *want* to do something that catches your god's eye - that would be a similar mechanic (I'm wavering between the standard "God will See Me" rating above, or reversing it, on the model that your god will *expect* a Devotee to be doing stuff, so won't notice an extremely devout act, whereas he might notice the same act from an initiate more...) and a different set of modifiers.
RR
He was born with the gift of laughter and the sense that the world was mad
R. Sabatini, Scaramouche
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