Re: Request for some math

From: L.Castellucci <lightcastle_at_...>
Date: Tue, 18 Sep 2007 11:21:18 -0400

Something about the math here doesn't look right to me. (It's been a long time since I fiddled with this kind of thing. IT looks to me like bumps weren't taken into account, but I could be wrong.

Are these actually the odds of achieving any kind of victory?

Best.
LC

On September 18, 2007 07:55 am, Gavain Sweetman wrote:
> The (slight) problem with looking at this is that the numbers depend on
> where the players skill lies on the 1-20 scale to roll against. So here
> are a few examples of what I mean
>
>
> player skill 65% victory 75% victory 90% victory X Y Z
> 1 12 15 19
> 11 14 18 5 16 3W 19W
> 16 18 34 10 7W 12W
> 19W 17 22 29 15 11W 14W
> 19W 16 19 24 20 12W 15W
> 19W 12 15 19
>
>
> If you add an extra mastery then it doesn't raise the chances of victory by
> very much e.g. 1:19 = 90.3% all victories 1:19W = 90.8% all victories
> 1:19W2 = 99.8% all victories, but what does change is the levvel of victory
> 1:19 = 81.0% minor victory 1:19W = 90.8% major victory 1:19W2 = 90.38%
> complete victory.
>
> In general if you want to make it harder for your players, have your
> monsters with high numbers before the mastery :-)
>
> Hope that this helps.
> Gavain