Re: Anonymous Archers

From: Alex Ferguson <abf_at_yeats.ucc.ie>
Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2000 21:06:24 GMT

simon_hibbs replies to me:
> >More than slightly! For the numbers cited this stacks things significantly
> >in the archers' favour. If you're resolving their attack collectively,
> >the phrase "We bet 90AP" should illustrate the degree of the Hero's
> >problem...
>
> On a side-note. Can archers make such huge bets?

Why not? We were talking about a collective rating for 28 of them: that's only a little more than 3AP per capita.

> I'm not talking just about archery here, but generaly in Hero Wars discussions
> I've seen people talk about SP/AP betting just as a statistical game.

Clearly it's not _just_ a statistical game, but one would be foolish to ignore that in Hero Wars, Min-Maxing _is_ Statistics. And it's meaningless to assess a situation probabilistically without taking account of sensible betting strategy. (Though on Keith's numbers, the Hero was hosed anyway, frankly.)

> I think it's very important to keep focused on the fact that an SP bet
> directly links to the character(s) taking a commensurately risky
> game-world action.

I agree. The rules soft-pedal this somewhat, but to get somewhat Raaterovian for a moment, I'd say "No description: default bet; inappropriate description to the stated bet size: summary GM fiat as to the 'correction' applied to the latter."

Cheers,
Alex.

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