Because if the little by little strategy is to your advantage, then it is not to your opponent advantage, and so your opponent will make large bets.
>I agree with Nick B. that knowing the odds,
>and betting appropriately, is a good starting point for success, cold
>and calculating as it may be.
Yes, and its not a bad thing either - its seems very intuitive that experts who are also cautious are hard to beat, but if you take bigger risks, you take bigger risks. When the natural result of 'minimaxing' is natural seeming behaviour, thats good.
Luckily, if it bothers you as a GM that players will play the odds, its not that hard to construct more complex situations, given edges and AP bonuses, and differing bonuses for different abilities, and so on, so that your players will find it a little more difficult to calculate the odds.
Cheers David ------------------------------
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